. 13/11/2024 6:31 PM
India’s industrial production rebounded with a growth of 3.1% in September 2024, marking a significant recovery after a marginal decline of 0.1% in August. This growth was primarily driven by a robust performance in the manufacturing sector, while electricity generation and mining saw more modest increases. However, when compared to the same period last year, the growth rate showed a slowdown from 6.4% in September 2023, signaling a more cautious pace of industrial recovery.
Manufacturing Sector: The manufacturing industry led the growth with a notable 3.9% increase in September 2024. Key sectors contributing to this expansion include the production of coke and refined petroleum products (up by 5.3%), basic metals (up by 2.5%), and electrical equipment (up by an impressive 18.7%). These industries were instrumental in boosting overall industrial output.
Electricity Generation: The electricity sector saw a more modest gain of 0.5%, reflecting stable demand in power consumption. This indicates that while energy production is growing, the pace of increase has slowed compared to earlier months.
Mining: The mining sector posted a slight 0.2% increase in output. While mining has continued its steady recovery, the overall contribution to industrial growth remains limited, with mining growth remaining subdued.
Primary Goods: The production of primary goods grew by 1.8%, reaching an index of 141.3, signaling moderate growth in essential industrial inputs.
Capital Goods: Capital goods output rose by 2.8%, reaching an index of 115.8, reflecting ongoing demand in machinery and equipment necessary for industrial expansion.
Intermediate Goods: The intermediate goods category experienced the highest growth at 4.2%, driven by strong demand for materials used in the production of final goods.
Infrastructure/Construction Goods: Growth in infrastructure and construction goods stood at 3.3%, suggesting continued momentum in the infrastructure development sector, which remains a key focus area for India’s economic recovery.
Consumer Durables: The consumer durables segment saw a solid increase of 6.5%, pointing to strong consumer demand in goods like appliances and electronics, reflecting optimism in household spending.
Consumer Non-Durables: This category grew by 2%, indicating steady demand for everyday products, even as the overall economic environment remains relatively cautious.
Manufacturing: 147.0
Mining: 111.7
Electricity: 206.9
These indices reflect the overall growth of the industrial sector across different industries. Manufacturing continues to be the largest contributor, followed by electricity and mining.
IIP Growth (April-September 2024): For the first half of 2024, India’s Index of Industrial Production (IIP) registered a growth of 4%, which is lower than the 6.2% growth recorded during the same period in 2023. This slowdown indicates that industrial activity has moderated in recent months.
Year-on-Year Comparison: In September 2023, industrial growth was much stronger at 6.4%, but this year’s 3.1% growth in September signals that while there is a recovery, it is at a more measured pace.
The 3.1% growth in industrial production in September 2024 is a positive sign for the Indian economy, especially after the dip in August. The manufacturing sector’s strong performance, driven by key industries like metals, electrical equipment, and petroleum, underscores the resilience of India’s industrial base. However, the slower growth compared to the previous year suggests that while the economy is recovering, challenges such as global economic uncertainty, inflationary pressures, and domestic demand fluctuations may still be limiting faster growth.
The continued growth in sectors like infrastructure and consumer durables is encouraging, as it indicates ongoing investments in infrastructure and a strong consumer spending outlook. However, the slower pace of recovery in mining and electricity generation may reflect deeper structural challenges in these sectors.
